IQ: What Are the Odds You’re a Genius?

Stephen Hawking is charmingly evasive about his IQ. In 2004, he told the New York Times, “I hope I’m near the upper end of the range.” Chances are he is. His IQ is almost certainly high enough to qualify him for Mensa, the biggest high-IQ society on Earth—one in fifty people will meet its membership criteria. But would he qualify for the ultra-exclusive Pi Society, which takes only those with IQs in the top 99.999999 percentile?

Many geniuses haven’t. Had they been given the chance, the top minds behind the founding of Mensa, or even those behind the creation of IQ testing itself, might not have made the cut.

The idea of measuring brainpower began in the late 1800s with Sir Francis Galton, a privileged Victorian-era Englishman who had more than enough brains of his own to measure. He invented, among other things, fingerprint analysis, weather maps, the concept of mathematical correlation, the phrase “nature versus nurture,” and psychometry—the measuring of intellect.

The idea came to him after reading his half-cousin Charles Darwin’s The Origin of Species.

Determined to quantify the (to him) obvious differences between upper- and lower-class brains, he threw himself into the study of genetic superiority. He even gave it a name—“eugenics”—and psychometry grew out of it in the late 1800s.

The “science” of eugenics was eventually dismissed as racist baloney, but the notion of testing for intelligence persisted.

Psychologists and statisticians devised many ways to test smarts over the ensuing years. In the first years of the twentieth century, Frenchmen Alfred Binet and Théodore Simon created the first version of today’s stereotypical brainpower test: it measured one’s “mental age,” divided it by actual age, and multiplied the quotient by 100—giving an intelligence quotient, or IQ.

Their system had problems. For example, the only limit to IQ was one’s age: a twenty-year-old found to have the mental age of a forty-year-old (whatever that means) would have an IQ of 200. In theory, a ten-year-old found to have the mental age of an eighty-year-old could have an IQ of 800. Such a system only works in a world where older is always smarter.

To address this flaw, in 1939 American psychologist David Wechsler refined the method. He compared an individual’s performance to the general population’s, rather than to his or her own mental age. The deviation from average becomes the IQ.

This system is the basis for most IQ tests today. “Average” is 100. It splits the population right down the middle: the odds a person will have an IQ of 100 or higher are 1 in 2.

To qualify for membership in Mensa, your IQ needs to be in the top 2 percent—around 130 or higher. It’s the top 2 percent and not the top 1 percent due to, of all things, a math error. The founders of Mensa International created their society just after World War II on the principle that—after such terrible conflict—it would be an apolitical group, ideology-free, open only to the wisest of Britons, the top 1 percent. However, someone made a mistake calculating IQ standard deviations, and Mensa has accepted the top 2 percent ever since.

To have an IQ beyond the Mensa requirement is very rare. The odds a person will have an IQ of 140 or higher are 1 in 261.1, and the odds of having an IQ of, say, 160 or higher are 1 in 31,560—roughly the same as the odds that a person in Georgia over the age of four speaks Yiddish at home.

And it’s the rare folks who get invited in to the ultimate cerebral orders: the Mega Society and the Pi Society. The odds a person will meet the membership criteria for either group are set, as a rule, at 1 in 1,000,000. The required IQ is a whopping 172 or higher.

1 reader liked this story.
From Around the Web:
It feels good to write.

Your stories, musings, and advice are welcome here. We know you've got something to share, so jump in!

Article_sweeps
Most Liked Stories
Loader_buff
Sweeps_offers_article_300_top
Win a $10,000 escape to Jamaica! Enter as often as you wish.
Win a $10,000 escape to Jamaica! Enter as often as you wish.
VIEW ALL