What Probably Won’t Happen: Putting Odds in Perspective

If you live in a tropical area, you might harbor private fears of being attacked by a shark while lazing about in the ocean. But sharks aren’t your biggest problem; you’re more likely to be killed by a falling coconut than a malevolent, toothy fish. Don’t believe it? Take a look at the odds of some of these everyday—and not-so-everyday—occurrences: 

Odds of successfully climbing Mount Everest: 1 in 3
Odds of getting divorced: 1 in 3

Odds of dying from being bitten by a dog: 1 in 700,000
Odds of having quadruplets: 1 in 700,000

Odds that you will die this year from a shark attack: 1 in 300 million
Odds that you will die this year from a falling coconut: 1 in 250 million

Odds of being bit by a poisonous snake: 1 in 36 million
Odds of dying from a mountain lion attack in California: 1 in 32 million

Odds of death by lightning strike: 1 in 2,500,000
Odds of dying from eating Fugu (blowfish) in Japan: 1 in 3 million

Odds of winning the Mega Millions lottery: 1 in 135,145,920
Odds of dying from SARS in the United States: 1 in 100 million

Odds that your child is a genius: 1 in 250
Odds of writing a New York Times best seller: 1 in 220

Odds of being the victim of serious crime in your lifetime: 1 in 20
Odds of getting colon cancer: 1 in 20

Odds that an event with a probability of 1,000,000:1 occurs in America today: 1 in 295
Odds of dying from falling down: 1 in 246

12 readers liked this story.
email
Plus_14MORE WAYS TO SHARE
07.30.2009
Sole2Sole
LOL What are the odds of someone having so much time to measure all these?
07.29.2009
Jayne Martin
Okay, I've fallen many times (mostly off horses) and haven't died, and last week I did win $425 on a Fantasy Five ticket (I think the odds are a bit better than the Mega). Interesting article.
It feels good to write.

Your stories, musings, and advice are welcome here. We know you've got something to share, so jump in!

Article_sweeps
most liked
Loader_buff
Sweeps_offers_article_300_top
How Do You Avoid Calorie Overload? Chime in and win $500!
How Do You Avoid Calorie Overload? Chime in and win $500!
Slimming down for a big event? Tell us about it and win $500!
Slimming down for a big event? Tell us about it and win $500!
VIEW ALL
Other topics you might appreciate
Relationships Style Parenting